Thursday, August 13, 2009

Grave Tidings for Indian Leadership

Thursday, August 13, 2009


If the Chinese analyst's posting on a private Think Tank website is surprising to Indian Establishment, it should not waste time in coming out with its own counter strategies, with a view to take its own people in confidence. It should not seek and accept any lame excuses from our adversaries over the apparently a calculated move to shake up India.

The alleged dream of a 'Afghanistan to Myanmar' can hardly be the priority of Indians at any stage of their nation building.

The inclusion of Afghanistan and Myanmar into a 'Greater India appears to be throw back to British India.

It is possible that India's and Manmohan Singh's new friends from the West, have their own plans to draw up a new nation in the subcontinent, and are leaking out details as a working model of their imperialist design for India.

Indian people are not aware if by signing up strategic partnership with the US and its allies, our leaders are ushering in such a dubious, hazardous and dangerous element, which could trigger reactions like that of the Chinese Strategist, risking a virtual balkanization our nation.

The figuring of Hindutva as the most touted center-point of Indian nationhood by the Chinese is a clever device to justify the break-up design for other disgruntled regionals.

This should give a food for thought to the Hindutvadis too. As a start, they will have to discard their narrow exclusivist Idea of India, if they do not want forces beyond their control to make them the culprit and find excuse to threaten the very foundation of our nationhood. From now on, they should be the last people to have any role in the future of nation building. In fact, they are our weakest link to the future integrity and security of our country. A handful of minority, in these times of democratic rights, cannot be acceptable to the world, especially to our adversaries, as fit to claim India, even if they manage to muscle in by garnering spurious electoral majority.

India is at the threshold of very crucial changes and it will need leadership that inspires trust and confidence among its people.

As a nation, in the face of such grave challenges, we are a nation without vision, without direction, without a consensus to face the future.

Let our leaders stand up and face the nation, as soon as possible to explain what is happening around us and how are we supposed to be coping with such challenges.

India needs a strong, robust, confidant and visionary leadership at this juncture that is not given to hallucinations and hubris. It is time to consolidate what we have and not covet what we can never digest.

Ghulam Muhammed, Mumbai


China Should break up the Indian Union, suggests a Chinese Strategist

D.S.Rajan, C3S Paper No.325 dated
August 9, 2009

Almost coinciding with the 13th round of Sino-Indian border talks (New Delhi, August 7-8, 2009), an article (in Chinese language) has appeared in China captioned “If China takes a little action, the so-called Great Indian Federation can be broken up” ( Zhong Guo Zhan Lue Gang, , Chinese,8 August 2009). Interestingly, it has been reproduced in several other strategic and military websites of the country and by all means, targets the domestic audience. The authoritative host site is located in Beijing and is the new edition of one, which so far represented the China International Institute for Strategic Studies (

Claiming that Beijing’s ‘China-Centric’ Asian strategy, provides for splitting India, the writer of the article, Zhan Lue (strategy), has found that New Delhi’s corresponding ‘India-Centric’ policy in Asia, is in reality a ‘Hindustan centric’ one. Stating that on the other hand ‘local centres’ exist in several of the country’s provinces (excepting for the U.P and certain Northern regions), Zhan Lue has felt that in the face of such local characteristics, the ‘so-called’ Indian nation cannot be considered as one having existed in history.

According to the article, if India today relies on any thing for unity, it is the Hindu religion. The partition of the country was based on religion. Stating that today nation states are the main current in the world, it has said that India could only be termed now as a “Hindu Religious state’. Adding that Hinduism is a decadent religion as it allows caste exploitation and is unhelpful to the country’s modernization, it described the Indian government as one in a dilemma with regard to eradication of the caste system as it realizes that the process to do away with castes may shake the foundation of the consciousness of the Indian nation.

The writer has argued that in view of the above, China in its own interest and the progress of whole Asia, should join forces with different nationalities like Assamese, Tamils, and Kashmiris and support the latter in establishing independent nation-states of their own, out of India. In particular, the ULFA in Assam, a territory neighboring China, can be helped by China so that Assam realizes its national independence.

The article has also felt that for Bangladesh, the biggest threat is from India, which wants to develop a great Indian Federation extending from Afghanistan to Myanmar. India is also targeting China with support to Vietnam’s efforts to occupy Nansha (Spratly) group of islands in South China Sea. Hence the need for China’s consolidation of its alliance with Bangladesh, a country with which the US and Japan are also improving their relations to counter China. It has pointed out that China can give political support to Bangladesh enabling the latter to encourage ethnic Bengalis in India to get rid of Indian control and unite with Bangladesh as one Bengali nation; if the same is not possible, creation of at least another free Bengali nation state as a friendly neighbour of Bangladesh, would be desirable, for the purpose of weakening India’s expansion and threat aimed at forming a ‘unified South Asia’.

The punch line in the article has been that to split India, China can bring into its fold countries like Pakistan, Nepal and Bhutan, support ULFA in attaining its goal for Assam’s independence, back aspirations of Indian nationalities like Tamils and Nagas, encourage Bangladesh to give a push to the independence of West Bengal and lastly
recover the 90,000 sq km. territory in Southern Tibet.

Wishing for India’s break-up into 20-30 nation-states like in Europe, the article has concluded by saying that if the consciousness of nationalities in India could be aroused, social reforms in South Asia can be achieved, the caste system can be eradicated and the region can march along the road of prosperity.

The Chinese article in question will certainly outrage readers in India. Its suggestion that China can follow a strategy to dismember India, a country always with a tradition of unity in diversity, is atrocious, to say the least. The write-up could not have been published without the permission of the Chinese authorities, but it is sure that Beijing will wash its hands out of this if the matter is taken up with it by New Delhi. It has generally been seen that China is speaking in two voices – its diplomatic interlocutors have always shown understanding during their dealings with their Indian counterparts, but its selected media is pouring venom on India in their reporting. Which one to believe is a question confronting the public opinion and even policy makers in India. In any case, an approach of panic towards such outbursts will be a mistake, but also ignoring them will prove to be costly for India.

(The writer, D.S.Rajan, is Director of Chennai Centre for China Studies, Chennai, India, email:

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